BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Mt St Mary's

Class: 1 Class Rank: 288 Overall: (15-15) Overall Strength =   22.59
Conference: Metro Atlantic Record: (9-7) | District: 1-02 Record: (14-13)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-04-2025 Away    L   *  20.62  49  83    1  44 (26- 8) Richmond               -1.83 *  -32.17                      
 2 11-08-2025 Away    L      15.74  52  66    1 239 ( 8-23) Pittsburgh             -6.71     -7.29                      
 3 11-12-2025 Away    L   *  20.51  45  49    1 291 (11-19) Bucknell               -1.93     -2.07                      
 4 11-15-2025 Home    W   *  32.93  69  47    1 342 ( 5-26) Morgan St              10.49     11.51                      
 5 11-20-2025 Away    W   *  46.19  69  50    1 275 (12-18) Loyola MD              23.74     -4.74                      
 6 11-26-2025 Home    L   *  16.29  59  67    1 247 (20-15) MD E Shore             -6.15     -1.85                      
 7 12-03-2025 Away    L      20.31  44  92    1  13 (24- 9) Maryland               -2.13 *  -45.87                      
 8 12-07-2025 Home    W   *  39.00  75  64    1 212 (17-15) Lehigh                 16.55     -5.55                      
 9 12-15-2025 Home    W      41.15  81  52   ZZ  29 (15-17) Mercyhurst             18.70     10.30                      
10 12-19-2025 Home    W * *  24.88  66  59    1 296 (11-20) Marist                  2.43      4.57                      
11 12-21-2025 Home    W * *  30.34  65  55    1 283 (20-12) Ioan                    7.89      2.11                      
12 12-29-2025 Away    L   *  26.81  56  60    1 232 (19-13) Merrimack               4.36     -8.36                      
13 01-01-2026 Away    L * *  16.08  59  69    1 278 (13-17) Siena                  -6.36     -3.64                      
14 01-08-2026 Home    L * *  12.63  44  70    1  98 (27- 7) Qunnipiac              -9.82    -16.18                      
15 01-10-2026 Away    W * *  20.14  55  51    1 344 ( 7-23) St Peter's             -2.31      6.31                      
16 01-14-2026 Away    L * *  15.73  59  68    1 284 (11-20) Manhattan              -6.71     -2.29                      
17 01-17-2026 Home    W * *  18.98  71  64    1 343 ( 5-24) Canisius               -3.46     10.46                      
18 01-19-2026 Home    W * *  13.34  62  49    1 357 ( 1-28) Niagara                -9.10     22.10                      
19 01-22-2026 Away    L * *  30.99  43  56    1  98 (27- 7) Qunnipiac               8.55    -21.55                      
20 01-24-2026 Home    L   *  12.44  68  81    1 232 (19-13) Merrimack             -10.01     -2.99                      
21 01-29-2026 Away    W * *  29.26  70  59    1 334 ( 7-22) Rider                   6.81      4.19                      
22 01-31-2026 Home    L * *  -1.23  61  73    1 344 ( 7-23) St Peter's            -23.68     11.68                      
23 02-05-2026 Away    W * *  26.71  63  62    1 283 (20-12) Ioan                    4.26     -3.26                      
24 02-07-2026 Away    W   *  28.94  68  63 1  1 294 (13-18) Sacred Heart            6.50     -1.50                      
25 02-12-2026 Home    L * *  18.93  43  69    1  58 (28- 5) Fairfield              -3.52    -22.48                      
26 02-19-2026 Away    W * *  24.71  76  57    1 357 ( 1-28) Niagara                 2.26     16.74                      
27 02-21-2026 Away    L * *  12.35  63  68 1  1 343 ( 5-24) Canisius              -10.09      5.09                      
28 02-26-2026 Home    W   *  23.57  66  61    1 294 (13-18) Sacred Heart            1.13      3.87                      
29 02-28-2026 Home    W * *  20.89  54  46    1 334 ( 7-22) Rider                  -1.55      9.55                      
30 03-07-2026 Neutral L   *  14.12  48  62    1 232 (19-13) Merrimack              -8.32     -5.68                      
      Averages              22.45  60.1 62.4

Best game:   46.19 = 19 point win over Loyola MD
Worst game:  -1.23 = 12 point loss to St Peter's
Team stdev:   9.82