BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Mt St Mary's

Class: 1 Class Rank: 287 Overall: (15-15) Overall Strength =   22.09
Conference: Metro Atlantic Record: (9-7) | District: 1-02 Record: (14-13)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-04-2025 Away    L   *  20.48  49  83    1  43 (26- 7) Richmond               -1.49 *  -32.51                      
 2 11-08-2025 Away    L      15.37  52  66    1 240 ( 8-23) Pittsburgh             -6.61     -7.39                      
 3 11-12-2025 Away    L   *  19.93  45  49    1 291 (11-19) Bucknell               -2.04     -1.96                      
 4 11-15-2025 Home    W   *  32.71  69  47    1 342 ( 5-25) Morgan St              10.74     11.26                      
 5 11-20-2025 Away    W   *  45.70  69  50    1 275 (12-18) Loyola MD              23.73     -4.73                      
 6 11-26-2025 Home    L   *  15.49  59  67    1 255 (18-13) MD E Shore             -6.48     -1.52                      
 7 12-03-2025 Away    L      20.23  44  92    1  15 (23- 8) Maryland               -1.74 *  -46.26                      
 8 12-07-2025 Home    W   *  38.41  75  64    1 216 (16-13) Lehigh                 16.44     -5.44                      
 9 12-15-2025 Home    W      41.32  81  52   ZZ  29 (15-15) Mercyhurst             19.35      9.65                      
10 12-19-2025 Home    W * *  24.35  66  59    1 299 (11-20) Marist                  2.38      4.62                      
11 12-21-2025 Home    W * *  29.86  65  55    1 285 (20-12) Ioan                    7.89      2.11                      
12 12-29-2025 Away    L   *  26.28  56  60    1 236 (19-12) Merrimack               4.31     -8.31                      
13 01-01-2026 Away    L * *  15.55  59  69    1 280 (13-17) Siena                  -6.43     -3.57                      
14 01-08-2026 Home    L * *  11.68  44  70    1 102 (26- 6) Qunnipiac             -10.29    -15.71                      
15 01-10-2026 Away    W * *  19.61  55  51    1 345 ( 7-23) St Peter's             -2.36      6.36                      
16 01-14-2026 Away    L * *  15.09  59  68    1 290 (11-20) Manhattan              -6.88     -2.12                      
17 01-17-2026 Home    W * *  18.60  71  64    1 343 ( 5-24) Canisius               -3.37     10.37                      
18 01-19-2026 Home    W * *  12.95  62  49    1 357 ( 1-28) Niagara                -9.02     22.02                      
19 01-22-2026 Away    L * *  29.97  43  56    1 102 (26- 6) Qunnipiac               8.00    -21.00                      
20 01-24-2026 Home    L   *  11.99  68  81    1 236 (19-12) Merrimack              -9.99     -3.01                      
21 01-29-2026 Away    W * *  28.72  70  59    1 337 ( 7-22) Rider                   6.75      4.25                      
22 01-31-2026 Home    L * *  -1.68  61  73    1 345 ( 7-23) St Peter's            -23.65     11.65                      
23 02-05-2026 Away    W * *  26.16  63  62    1 285 (20-12) Ioan                    4.19     -3.19                      
24 02-07-2026 Away    W   *  28.40  68  63 1  1 296 (13-18) Sacred Heart            6.43     -1.43                      
25 02-12-2026 Home    L * *  18.63  43  69    1  57 (28- 4) Fairfield              -3.34    -22.66                      
26 02-19-2026 Away    W * *  24.25  76  57    1 357 ( 1-28) Niagara                 2.28     16.72                      
27 02-21-2026 Away    L * *  11.89  63  68 1  1 343 ( 5-24) Canisius              -10.08      5.08                      
28 02-26-2026 Home    W   *  23.11  66  61    1 296 (13-18) Sacred Heart            1.14      3.86                      
29 02-28-2026 Home    W * *  20.43  54  46    1 337 ( 7-22) Rider                  -1.54      9.54                      
30 03-07-2026 Neutral L   *  13.63  48  62    1 236 (19-12) Merrimack              -8.34     -5.66                      
      Averages              21.97  60.1 62.4

Best game:   45.70 = 19 point win over Loyola MD
Worst game:  -1.68 = 12 point loss to St Peter's
Team stdev:   9.86